Thursday, December 19, 2019

Mcx Metal Market Report: 20th December 2019


Insignia Consultants
New Delhi
Friday, 20 December 2019
TIME 8:50 AM IST                         

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MCX METALS MARKET REPORT
Gold and silver rose sharply in MCX yesterday night as rupee weakened against the US dollar in New York and short covering. Traders will start taking positions for New Year. Internet was closed in a lot of parts of India yesterday. Trading volumes will reduce if internet is closed in different parts of India. If trading volumes reduce, then prices moves in all metals and energies can be sudden.
CLOSING MCX SPREAD/BADLA


MCX FUTURE
19-Dec-19
18-Dec-19
Gold April--Gold Feb
52.00
58.00
Silver May-Silver March
461.00
414.00
Crude oil feb-Crudeoil Jan
-5.00
-6.00
Copper Jan-Copper Dec
5.15
4.90
Zinc jan-Zinc Dec
-1.25
-1.00
Lead jan--Lead dec
-0.95
-1.30
Nickel jan-Nickel dec
-0.90
-2.50
NG jan-- NG dec
0.30
-3.50
Prices of MCX futures are in Indian rupees above)
If rupee weakens today, then gold and silver spread/badla will rise further. I expect natural gas future spread/badla to move into positive zone next week.
24th December to 26th December global trading volumes in all metals and energies will be very less as Christmas is celebrated in different parts of the year. One needs to trade over carefully in MCX on 24th December and 26th December. Low risk traders should trade for intraday till 3rd January 2020. Physical dealers of gold and silver should hedge their buys in MCX futures or comex futures. Also hedge the rupee portion separately if you are hedging gold and silver in comex futures.
Daily view on US Dollar-Indian Rupee (usd/inr) spot: Current price: 71.1800: So far Modijis response to mass unrest has been muted.  I expect rupee to weaken to 71.5600 and 72.0225 by 1st week of January if unrest continues. Technically a break of 71.2550 will result in 71.5600 and 71.7250. On the lower side as long as usd/inr trades over 70.9600-71.0000, downside risk will be limited.
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Disclaimer: Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of prices of specific currencies, metals and commodities reflect the views of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any party in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omissions of Information. Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. All analyses used herein are subjective opinions of the author and should not be considered as specific investment advice. Investors/Traders must consider all relevant risk factors including their own personal financial situation before trading. Websitewww.insigniaconsultants.in. Prepared by Chintan Karnani
Disclosure: Members, employees, directors, clients and all other people associated with “Insignia consultants” do trade in MCX metals and energies. They may or may not have positions on the trading strategies mentioned in this report. They may also have open positions in MCX metals and energies futures in trading strategies other than those mentioned in this report.
Insignia Consultants does not have any branches in India.
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NOTES TO THE ABOVE REPORT
ALL VIEWS ARE INTRADAY UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED
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PLEASE NOTE: HOLDS MEANS HOLDS ON DAILY CLOSING BASIS
PLEASE USE APPROPRIATE STOP LOSSES ON INTRA DAY TRADES TO LIMIT LOSSES.
THE TIME GIVEN IN THE REPORT IS THE TIME OF COMPLETION OF REPORT
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